NASCAR DraftKings Fantasy Driver Ranking: Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500 at Texas DFS Picks

The rankings below are based on a mix of expected results and DraftKings‘NASCAR wages for Sunday. The order is not based on the highest projected fantastic totals, but rather on the value of each driver.

The DraftKings The Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500 slate locks at 2 p.m. ET on Sunday.



1. Kyle Larson ($ 10,500) – Each statistic in package 550 corresponds to Larson. Final position, weight points (quick laps and led laps) and actual standings all point to another fantastic 100-point day for NASCAR’s Michael Jordan. The only pilot who can beat Larson is himself.

2. Denny Hamlin ($ 9,900) – When Kyle Larson makes a mistake, Hamlin comes forward (Las Vegas win). In the 550 package (low power, high downforce), Hamlin’s actual 89/100 rating (my own statistical creation that weighs a pilot’s average position as well as the number of laps driven and laps driven in the top 5, top 10, top 20, top 25 and top 30) is the second highest behind Larson.

3. Kyle Busch ($ 9,800) – Hamlin and Harvick were involved in wrecks early in the race that knocked them out in Texas last season, but that shouldn’t take anything away from Kyle Busch’s victory. The No. 18 Skittles car was fast and this sponsor cannot be left out of Victory Lane.

4. Ryan Blaney ($ 9,500) – In the July race in Texas, Blaney had the best car and would have won, had it not been for a late warning at an inopportune time. In the fall, the track was 50 degrees cooler, but crew chief Todd Gordon was still able to guess the correct setup. Seeing that they have been good in both circumstances, it is likely that Blaney will land quickly this weekend.

5. Chase Elliott ($ 10,100) – If car # 9 is going to turn it on, now is the time. Now that his stupid feud with Harvick is over, the spotlight is on Elliott’s shortcomings. He doesn’t win despite having a winning car in three of the last four races of the 550 package.


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6. William Byron ($ 9,600) – Kyle Larson ran the most laps in the top 5 of the 550 package (91%). William Byron recorded second place in this package (77%). If it weren’t for three bad breakaways in the last intermediate track race, William Byron might have been able to win in Las Vegas.

7. Kevin Harvick ($ 10,900) – Several years ago, Harvick was arrested cheating in Texas. Maybe a few years ago he cheated in Texas. Now that he’s been knocked out of the playoffs, why not push the boundaries?

8. Brad Keselowski ($ 8,500) – It’s been a forgettable final season with Penske for Keselowski, but it’s no surprise the veteran driver has become less productive. Although he is no longer a dominant force, Keselowski is not far behind. He was two tires from the pits to lead 50 laps.

9. Martin Truex Jr ($ 10,300) – The Toyota No.19 JGR is a high power, low downforce car. Truex and Cole Pearn regularly destroyed terrain on intermediate tracks in the real race car before 2019. Pearn has since quit the sport, and while Truex performs well on short high-powered tracks, he has never been in. able to rekindle the magic of intermediate tracks in the 550 package.

10. Tyler Reddick ($ 7,700) – This season has not started well for Reddick with actual scores of 54, 46 and 21. At Kansas, he turned the tide in the 550 package and recorded the top 10 actual scores in four of the last five races.

11. Alex Bowman ($ 9,300) – The # 48 car was very quick in the 550 package and better than most cars, but not his teammates’ cars. Bowman was the weakest Hendrick car in the 550 package, but in Texas pit strategy can sometimes be more important than speed.

12. Kurt Busch ($ 8,700) – In both the Atlanta races and the Homestead race, Kurt Busch had one of the top 550 package cars. Both of these tracks are worn out and have poor grip, but Texas is not a worn out racetrack.

13. Joey Logano ($ 9,100) – Here is a great list of numbers, but it is to illustrate a point: 14th, 11th, 13th, 17th, 13th, 13th, 12th and 12th. These are the average positions of Logano on the ovals of 550 packages this season. It’s not good.

14. Ryan Newman ($ 7,000) – In the past, an average Newman was 15th, but now he’s 19th. An average day probably won’t do the job, but a slightly above average finish – its old average – will be a 6x day.

15. Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. ($ 7,200) – The last three intermediate track races haven’t been good races for Stenhouse, but his first five were another story. His average racing position in those races was 15th – a solid performance for a JTG Daugherty car.

16. Michael McDowell ($ 5,800) – It’s shocking, but McDowell is one of the top 20 riders in this package. It shouldn’t be shocking anymore as he’s been doing it for two seasons. His average running position has been 21st or better in seven of eight 550-package races this season.

17. Austin Dillon ($ 7,500) – His victory in Texas last season was incredibly lucky, but a win is a win. The caution at the end of the race was fortuitous, but RCR took the win in Texas by investing in AI software that predicts the best pit strategy. Dillon took the lead on the pit lane and held on for the win.

18. Matt DiBenedetto ($ 7,400) – He was strong in this package with an actual score of 68/100 (tied for 12th). DiBenedetto’s biggest concern in this race is that restarts are generally tame on this one-groove race track and his main strength will be neutralized.

19. Bubba Wallace ($ 6,400) – It’s not a resounding endorsement, but he’s been around a 15th to 20th place driver in this package this season. Bubba should be able to hang on to the lead round and possibly move forward as long as there are no long green flag runs.

20. Chris Buescher ($ 6,500) – No one is playing Chris Buescher, so there will be a GPP call. Is this a crazy game? Not quite, but it’s close. Buescher has an actual below average score in his last three 550-package races, but in the first five he has averaged top-12.


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